Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.012301 0.015022 0.018482 0.023324 0.030126 0.039687 0.054837
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.008673 0.011489 0.015535 0.022114 0.033311 0.053424 0.098154
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007058 0.009843 0.014180 0.022015 0.037454 0.071680 0.179410
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006163 0.008953 0.013591 0.022760 0.043432 0.100255 0.376042
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005430 0.008130 0.012846 0.022854 0.048114 0.132924 0.819095
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004738 0.007238 0.011751 0.021809 0.049366 0.157823 1.643498
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004258 0.006628 0.011043 0.021368 0.052116 0.196406 4.613779
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004020 0.006408 0.011038 0.022569 0.061098 0.298164 94.654577
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003877 0.006336 0.011314 0.024604 0.075451 0.530142 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003743 0.006258 0.011554 0.026672 0.093143 1.046880 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003503 0.005937 0.011188 0.026809 0.102072 1.686476 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003283 0.005630 0.010799 0.026748 0.110356 2.813722 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002949 0.005081 0.009818 0.024670 0.105483 3.367068 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002687 0.004661 0.009104 0.023342 0.105127 4.874665 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002515 0.004412 0.008764 0.023234 0.114354 12.107524 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002402 0.004273 0.008677 0.024038 0.133920 112.121014 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002273 0.004085 0.008431 0.024139 0.148401 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002114 0.003816 0.007928 0.023013 0.147620 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001994 0.003622 0.007602 0.022537 0.154650 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001942 0.003575 0.007670 0.023831 0.191582 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001916 0.003584 0.007899 0.026030 0.260309 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001886 0.003583 0.008099 0.028269 0.358851 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001810 0.003462 0.007920 0.028417 0.408729 NaN NaN